Good afternoon, gold enthusiasts! As of 1:00 PM WIB on Thursday, November 28, 2025, XAUUSD is trading at $4,163.46, up 0.15% from the morning open, reflecting cautious optimism amid ongoing central bank demand and shifting Fed rate cut probabilities. The spot price, per LiteFinance, has consolidated between a low of $4,149.46 and high of $4,163.46, with the current level testing the daily pivot of $4,156.95. This stability follows a 4.99% monthly gain in November, driven by geopolitical tensions and ETF inflows, as reported by Trading Economics.
Gold’s resilience is bolstered by robust central bank purchases, with the World Gold Council (WGC) noting 220 tonnes bought in Q3 2025, a 28% quarter-over-quarter increase, totaling 1,313 tonnes year-to-date ($146 billion). North American funds led with 346 tonnes, followed by Europe (148 tonnes) and Asia (118 tonnes), per WGC. The Fed’s blackout period (November 29–December 11) adds uncertainty, but CME FedWatch Tool shows a 70% probability for a December cut, down from 85% last week, per FXStreet. Geopolitical risks, including Russia-Ukraine and Middle East tensions, continue to support safe-haven flows, though de-escalation could cap upside.
The $14.00 range—$4,149.46 to $4,163.46—sets up a potential 20-30 pip shift, with support at $4,140 (50-day SMA) and resistance at $4,200 (psychological level). A break above $4,163 could target $4,180, while a drop below $4,149 might test $4,120. Last week’s ISM Manufacturing at 48 moved gold $5, reinforcing contraction signals.
Today’s session could trigger a $60-$90 move with Exness copy trading . Beginners can start with $50, using a 10-pip stop-loss and 20-pip take-profit, while pros scale up near $4,163. Risks include a dollar rally from Fed speeches during the blackout, dropping XAUUSD to $4,140. Pair with stop-losses.
Technically, the daily RSI is neutral (52), with support at $4,140 and resistance at $4,200. The 4-hour chart hints at $4,180 or $4,130. Long-term, LiteFinance forecasts $4,300 in 2025, with WalletInvestor eyeing $6,103–$6,596 by 2030 amid de-dollarization trends. Check Economic Calendar update for get real time data at Tools pages! rade this dynamic shift with my strategy at Exness , ensuring tight spreads for profit. Stay updated with the latest gold trading outlook at tradegoldnow.com/daily-blog for more insights!